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The Trafalgar group touts that it uses methods designed to get around what it calls the social desirability bias. Basically, the theory is that people will not reveal their true feelings in a poll. But, there is a nearly 3% margin of error, effectively making the race too close to call. Grisham is favored to hold onto her seat that she won four years ago, according to FiveThirtyEight. 100% Reporting *Incumbent. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and . Lujan Grisham leading her Republican opponent Mark Ronchetti narrowly, 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, with 1 percent backing Libertarian nominee Karen Bedonie. 90% of the vote was counted by 1:30 a.m. Lorsque vous utilisez nos sites et applications, nous utilisons des, authentifier les utilisateurs, appliquer des mesures de scurit, empcher les spams et les abus; et. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. Any person with disabilities who needs help accessing the content of the FCC Public File may contact KOB via our online formor call 505-243-4411. What Happened: The national poll of 1,060 registered voters conducted . We're projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022. Create a password that only you will remember. Fox News Flash top headlines are here. There was a problem saving your notification. Bedonie is a former Republican congressional candidate. Incumbents typically have an advantage in elections, but not always. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Polls closed in the state at 7 p.m. local time, or 9 p.m. EST. Candidates requesting a non-mandatory recount must request the recount within six days of the state or county tabulation being finished. Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham was re-elected in 2022 with 52.0% of the vote. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. New Mexico held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 8, 2022. Published: November 8, 2022 - 6:56 AM. States New Mexico requires all absentee ballots, whether from voters in the U.S. or voters overseas, to be received by Election Day in order to be counted. Market data provided by Factset. Her opponent, Ronchetti, raised more than $7.8 million, as of October 3. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. It should have said this poll was of likely voters. They also say their governor is doing a better job than the president is. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. The last time the president's party won New Mexico's governor's race was in 1986. Hall High Jazz Band to perform 65th annual Pops 'n Jazz show. New Mexico. Si vous souhaitez personnaliser vos choix, cliquez sur Grer les paramtres de confidentialit. Political news website Real Clear Politics averaged all the current polling data together. March 02, 2023. As President Biden left the White House Friday, he approached then swiftly turned his back on reporters after one asked him to comment on COVID-19's origins. Bedonie lost in the 2020 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. New Hampshire. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican At the halfway point of the 60-day legislative session, New Mexico's proposed budget is halfway to the governor's desk. By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican A bipartisan bill that would have left the cap on medical malpractice payouts for independent outpatient health care facilities at $750,000 for another two years stalled Thursday in the Senate Tax, Business and Transportation Committee. February 22, 2023 at 4:00 p.m. Before joining Congress, Grisham was a member of the Bernalillo County Commission and also served as head of New Mexico's State Department of Health from 2004 to 2007 under Gov. Four years ago, Michelle Lujan Grisham easily won the election, benefitting both from the 2018 blue wave and a relatively weak opponent in Steve Pearce. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings, Slight majority of voters give thumbs up to Gov on COVID response, House passes bill to protect LGBTQ community from discrimination, Senate passes 1st major gun control law of session, Lujan Grisham to end state's COVID-19 public health emergency, APD investigating alleged political shooting mastermind's campaign finances, Lujan Grisham outlines legislative priorities at inauguration, 2022 Top Stories #4: Democrats sweep congressional races, New Mexico Democrats hold abortion rights rally in Las Cruces, Poll: Lujan Grisham leads governors race by 8 points, Poll: Lujan Grisham widens lead over Ronchetti, Legislator: Democrats have crucial time to pass reproductive legislation, Michelle Lujan Grisham wins a second-term after bruising campaign, How a new governor could impact reproductive policy, Senator: Mountain unlikely to get confirmation hearing during session, Governor nominates regents for New Mexico colleges and universities, Poll: Narrow lead for Lujan Grisham in gubernatorial race, Polls: Lujan Grisham leads by high single digits in reelection campaign; Dems lead in other key races, Poll shows majority of NM voters support abortion rights, Lujan Grisham to end states COVID-19 public health emergency, Bill supporting Game and Fish youth programs passes Senate, Bilingual education advocates push for an increased focus, opportunities, Bill requiring EV charging capabilities in new home construction advances, Another medical malpractice fix bill tabled. In the Sanderoff poll, Lujan Grisham is faring better among voters in north-central New Mexico, a Democratic stronghold that includes Santa Fe, Taos and Rio Arriba County. A bill that would require new homes to be built with the capability to charge electric vehicles and would require contractors to offer solar arrays for new homes passed the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Committee on a 7-4 vote on Thursday. This website is not intended for users located within the European Economic Area. As it turns out, the two most likely seats to flip may be Maryland and Massachusetts, where popular Republican governors are leaving office, and the GOP . Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Wikipedia; Utah . She was first elected in 2018 with 57.2% of the vote. The poll of likely voters in New Mexico shows Grisham receiving 48 percent support compared to Ronchetti's 43 percent when respondents were asked I suspect the race will narrow a little.. 2016 United States Presidential Election In New Mexico - Encyclopedia Information. In an open race for attorney general, Democrats are backing the well-known district attorney from the states largest city. ET. The poll is by the Trafalgar group, a political and corporate survey company. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. Corcoran wrote Lujan Grisham is campaigning all over the state, emphasizing how much is on the line this election.. Among other races and ethnicities, Lujan Grisham leads 49 percent to 27 percent over Ronchetti, with 7 percent supporting Bedonie. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. Republicans have held the office only three times in the states 110-year history. Voters in New Mexico can vote by mail or in person and can register to vote up to Election Day. Michelle Lujan Grisham against former network television meteorologist Mark Ronchetti. Democratic New Mexico Gov. This article is about the U.S. state of Utah. 2:56. Like Donald Trump, [Ronchetti] would attempt to drain funding from public schools, rip away health care from New Mexicans, and ban abortion in our state, she wrote. Senate. Ronchetti, a Trump-loyal former TV meteorologist, is running on a public safety platform, as he attributes crime rates in New Mexico to Grisham. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device. Below is a recap of some of the results they . An email message containing instructions on how to reset your password has been sent to the e-mail address listed on your account. 50. Some counties may have no shift toward one candidate or the other, while other counties can see shifts up to 10% of the vote. Not all percentages on questions add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Danehy. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. Earlier in October, Lujan Grisham asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to send more FBI agents to New Mexico to bring down the crime rate. Noteworthy elections. In the 2020 . All Rights Reserved. Your e-mail address will be used to confirm your account. Counties are colored red or blue when the percent of expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Michelle Lujan Grisham defeated Republican Mark Ronchetti in New Mexico's gubernatorial race. ET. Lujan Grisham has also done a better job locking down her party, with 81 percent of Democrats backing the incumbent, while 14 percent back Ronchetti and 1 percent support Bedonie. At . ET on Wednesday, with the remaining votes counted in 2020 by 7:30 p.m. Ronchetti did really well in Farmington, but thatll be somewhat offset by the rest of the northwest region, including in McKinley County which is very Democrat, Sanderoff said. Voters also are considering a constitutional amendment that could increase funding for early childhood and K-12 education by hundreds of millions of dollars if it is approved statewide referendum. Championship 1A District 2) Cheyenne Wells 42 vs Granada 51 (3 rd Place 1A District 2) Cheraw 34 vs McClave 62; Championship 1A District 3) La Veta 48 vs Springfield 50 (Championship 1A District 5) Otis 58 vs Stratton 71 (Championship 2A District 6) Crowley County 50 vs Holly 27 (3 rd Place 2A District 6) Hoehne 34 vs Fowler 51 (Championship 2A District 8) Simla 50 vs Limon 48 Incumbent Gov. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent for topline questions, while subpopulations will have larger margins of error. The law also creates automatic voter registration at the Department of Motor Vehicles. The poll is slightly higher than the average of polls at Real Clear Politics which shows Lujan Grisham leading by 6.7 points. Democratic incumbents are viewed as safe in the states central and northern districts. He was the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2020, and was defeated by Sen. Ben Ray Lujn, then-incumbent representativeforNew Mexico's 3rd Congressional District. KRQE News 13's Chris McKee and Curtis Segarra hosted livestreaming election results and analysis on KRQE.com between 7:30 and 11 p.m. Tuesday. Download. SANTA FE, N.M. The latest poll on the race for the governor in New Mexico is giving Republican Mark Ronchetti a slight edge in the race. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. See election results, a county-by-county map and more for the New Mexico Governor election on Nov. 8, 2022. People vote early for the upcoming midterm elections in Las Cruces, New Mexico, on Oct. 24, 2022. The incumbent governor will be determined in 2024, as New Hampshire elects their governors in a two-year cycle. Updated: November 9, 2022 - 4:35 PM. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Men very slightly favor Ronchetti, 43 percent to 42 percent over Lujan Grisham with 8 percent backing Bedonie. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Women are typically more likely to vote Democrat; Hispanics are typically more likely to vote Democrat. Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? 2020 New Mexico State House - District 21 Election Results. The poll found that Lujan Grisham, a Democrat, leads Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti 48 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie getting the support of 7 percent. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. A majority of New Mexico voters want a new governor to replace Democrat Gov. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. Note as well that the vote shift is not uniform across all counties and all races. 2023-24 Governor Interactive Map 2023-24 Pundit Forecasts 2022 Governor Polls 2022 Governor Election Results. The 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New Mexico.The election coincided with various other federal and state elections.Primary elections were held on June 7. A: As of Sept. 30, 2022, there were 1,358,032 registered voters in New Mexico, including 601,197 registered Democrats, 422,567 registered Republicans and 305,769 registered independents. His poll showed Lujan Grisham with a sizable lead in the Albuquerque metro area, including Bernalillo County, with 54 percent of the vote compared with Ronchettis 40 percent. Of those polled, 52 percent of women say they will vote for Lujan Grisham, while 36 percent say they will vote for Ronchetti and 6 percent for Bedonie.