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On to the picks. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 That value might just be worth the risk. The 21-year-old lefty is on an absolute heater at the moment, with two wins in his past three European Tour starts. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. At 7,322 yards, its not an overly long course, but its known for its narrow fairways and tight doglegs. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Reed is a grinder who navigates windy conditions well with a relatively low ball flight. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. Cantlay checks a lot of boxes this week, including losing in a playoff at the event last year to Scottie Scheffler. By taking a look at yesterday's ownership, we can get an idea of where people will be willing to go in Round 3 (DK points include finishing position). Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only player with odds shorter than +2500 to win the tournament. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | He hit another 25-1 shot at the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Scott has had a ton of success at Riviera. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for The Honda Classic 2023 By CBS Sports Staff Feb 22, 2023 at 1:09 pm ET 3 min read USATSI With the. The PGA Tour heads west this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club in Southern California. Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. In his last five starts, all on his native circuit, hes finished T6, T7, second, second and third. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. But four paragraphs are all Ill give me and Marksbury. Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 4. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,500. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. Stop at mega chalk and go when we see leverage that makes sense. Hes also 4-for-5 in 2023 with a T29 last week at Riviera where he flashed his game in a microcosm. Hes been no worse than T13 in his past four major starts. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? Hes made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! He finished T-4 in his last event (Farmers Insurance Open). Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. ET (ESPN3). All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. The major breakthrough happens this week. PGA Tour schedule World Golf Rankings 2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert Mike McClure studied the Farmers. Emotions are running high in the PGA Tour-LIV Golf battle, and Billy Horschel is a player who . Four golfers are priced shorter than 20-1 in Caesars Sportsbook's latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, led by Rahm at 7-1. 21 years of age or older to wager. Pivots: a) A popular player who played poorly yesterday, b) A less popular player who played okay yesterday. Homa is becoming one of the best players on Tour; he already has two wins during the 2022-23 season. The No. No time for WM Phoenix Open hangovers, the PGA TOUR continues full throttle to the 2023 Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. The result marks Kirk's. Expert picks to win and sleepers to watch for the Open Championship . In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. Going into Round 3, these are the color codes we will be using to identify who we want to target. I really like the value for all three outright plays. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. These elevated events just keep elevating. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! McClure is a DFS legend with nearly $2 million in career winnings, and he's been RED-HOT on his PGA picks dating back to the PGA Tour restart in June of 2020. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John's passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, May 17, 2022. But he still might be the best player in the game. Let's analyze Tipico. Lee +19000J.J. New Customer Offer (if applicable). See who he is backing at SportsLine. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. This PGA is particularly interesting because none of the front runners come in without some extra baggage. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. Given that this tournament caters to the top players, my card is much smaller than usual. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. playing a difficult but fair golf course. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Sleeper pick: Gary Woodland, +10,000. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com, Helps Nets To Big Comeback Victory With 38 Points, Scores Career-High 41 Points Against Portland, Keeps Point Streak Going With Two Assists, Jessie Bates III Not Expected Back In Cincinnati, No Movement On Leighton Vander Esch Talks, Browns Could Restructure Deshaun Watson's Contract, Cowboys Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Tony Pollard, Giants, Daniel Jones Making Progress In Talks, Jets Could Take A Quarterback In The Draft, Raiders Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Josh Jacobs, Yandy Diaz Likely Sidelined Into Next Week, A.J. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. Josh Bennett - Rory McIlroy 4. Every week, we share our. But, to score well, players must be on top of their ball striking and scramble well to avoid bogeys. The 2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the tournament at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Max Homa (19-1) are the other favorites. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under. On to our expert picks and info on how to bet for free. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a monster 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. New Customer Offer (if applicable). The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. Sports betting is an amazing way to take your weekly golf entertainment to the next level. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with an 11.11% implied probability. To-win: Matthew Fitzpatrick, +6,000. Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. 19+ in Ontario. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | 7:17 pm ET, check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks, odds, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. 21 years of age or older to wager. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Youre telling me I can get K.H. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. Set a budget. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . Its time for the Class of 2011 to bag another one. With that being said, he has struggled historically with Bermuda greens. The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. The 33-year-old won two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic, and the No. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. Ill stop typing for a second to relax my tiny neck as it struggles to hold my giant head. Growing up a few miles from Riviera, its no surprise Homa is very comfortable at the course. Now, McClure has set his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 and revealed his optimal PGA DFS picks. For years, Fowler entered each major with a cloud over his head as the best player to never win a major. After he watched the Masters at home, Im counting on Rickie playing with extra purpose this week. For more on Chirp, click here. He has the best odds to win at +650. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. Additionally, since 2015, every winner at the event has been a major champion or won The Players Championship. Not only did he win the 2018 edition, but he has also the most Strokes Gained at the tournament over the last five years at 51.24. Per our model, Rory McIlroy has +179 odds to finish in the Top 5 at this event, making PointsBet's odds a 5-star value. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. Visit the sportsbook today for weekly PGA odds! Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. As of Tuesday, its expected to be a windy tournament, especially on Friday, with gusts expected over 30 miles per hour. The Englishman does his best work from tee to green and he scores well on the par 4s, crucial with a dozen dotting PGA National. To-win: Brooks Koepka, +5,000. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Sleeper pick: Max Homa, +17,500. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, all from the expert who is up more than $2,000 on his PGA Tour picks this season. Give it to me! Play with friends. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 20 in all five appearances at this event, including third last year and second in 2021. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. , they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills Lifestyle PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills By: Nick Piastowski May. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. There were some concerns about his back after he withdrew from the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but he finished T-3 at The American Express and T-13 at the Farmers Insurance Open. To-win: Viktor Hovland, +2,000. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Below are some players to target when golf betting, followed by my betting card for the week. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. He even had his own Tiger Woods-like, boulder-moving experience at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. 18 Sungjae Im, No. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. follow. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 3. at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Win Big With RotoBaller 6. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. 19+ in Ontario. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000 Odds to Win, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Card & Other Predictions, Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top-20 Finish +375, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. Took a hit at the Wells Fargo with an MC, but he finished T3, T9, T13 in his three starts before that. He has great course history here which makes a lot of sense in hindsight, but his putter gaining more than 2 strokes in a round, does not make sense. Besides Jon Rahm, no one is hotter than McIlory right now. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA Championship. Keep it social. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. Gambling problem? Sam Horsfield(+200 for a Top 40) When youre talented, youre talented. And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. Highest-Owned Golfers. I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. In nine of the last 10 years, the winner opened between 10-1 and 50-1. Schauffele has always played well at majors, and this has a major-tournament feel. Does his best work with his putter. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. It starts this week. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. That generated momentum onto the Asian Tour where he picked off a T2 and a T5 before New Years. Hes also enjoyed a strong 2023, with two top-20 finishes in his last three events. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. Round 2 Strategy. You can only see McClure's Honda Classic one and done picks at SportsLine. The Spaniard also leads in greens in regulation percentage (75.7%) and strokes gained total. Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. Please Gamble Responsibly. Sleeper pick: K.H. This will be even more pronounced in tomorrow's slate, with winds looking to be brutal as the day progresses. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. Meanwhile, Burns and Spieth were No. Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. 5! Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. The 28-year-old ranks ninth in strokes gained putting and 22nd around the green, both weak points last season. It certainly feels like hes close to claiming his first career victory, and this could be the place to do it. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Like what you read today? His ability to scramble and avoid bogeys will be a major key to how well he does. 2023 WM Phoenix Open picks, predictions, field, odds: PGA expert fading Justin Thomas at TPC Scottsdale SportsLine expert Patrick McDonald analyzed the WM Phoenix Open 2023 field and made. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. , including world No. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 3 groupings for Saturday, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. Sign up for ESPN+ now to catch 12 hours of exclusive coverage of the first and second rounds, early weekend coverage, featured groups and much, much more from the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 Hes also in decent form coming off a T6 at the Wells Fargo and a T8 at the Masters over his past three events (although he did miss the cut at the Valspar). To-win: Abraham Ancer, +5,500. All Rights Reserved. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Justin Thomas, who took home the Wanamaker last Sunday, is teeing it up at Colonial Country Club and is the betting favorite at +1000. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +7,000. They may lay off the water going forward which will make the afternoon much drier and crusty, resulting in scoring being a little more difficult for the afternoon wave. He has two top-16 finishes in three events this season. Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. Timely putting has been the tangible product of his upturn, but it was laser-like iron play that set the stage for a T19 at PGA National in 2021. Thats not a bad combination for success on an Ocean Course that typically sees high winds and unpredictable conditions. Don't have an account?